{"id":119754,"date":"2024-12-11T11:26:15","date_gmt":"2024-12-11T11:26:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gfssite.local\/istatistik-ve-olasilik-genel-bir-giris\/"},"modified":"2024-12-11T11:26:23","modified_gmt":"2024-12-11T11:26:23","slug":"istatistik-ve-olasilik-genel-bir-giris","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/globalfinanceschool.com\/tr\/istatistik-ve-olasilik-genel-bir-giris\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130statistik ve Olas\u0131l\u0131k – Genel Bir Giri\u015f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0130statistik ve Olas\u0131l\u0131k \u2013 Genel Bir Giri\u015f<\/span><\/h2>\n

\n<\/p>

\u0130statistik ve olas\u0131l\u0131k, veri toplama ve analizine odaklanan matemati\u011fin dallar\u0131d\u0131r. Olas\u0131l\u0131k, olas\u0131 olman\u0131n durumu veya niteli\u011fi olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131r; veya bir olay\u0131n meydana gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde oldu\u011fu. <\/p>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin, y\u00fcksek kategorili bir kas\u0131rga anakaraya \u00e7arpt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u0131k\u0131m ve can kayb\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek olas\u0131l\u0131klar oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebilirsiniz.<\/span><\/p>\n


\n<\/p>\n

\u0130statistik Nedir?<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/h2>\n

\u0130statistik, verilerin b\u00fcy\u00fck miktarlarda topland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve analiz edildi\u011fi s\u00fcre\u00e7tir \u2013 ve bu, esas olarak, bir \u00f6rne\u011fi temsili olarak kullanarak daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00fct\u00fcn i\u00e7inde farkl\u0131 oranlar \u00e7\u0131karmak amac\u0131yla yap\u0131l\u0131r. \u00d6rne\u011fin, istatistiklerin yeni mezunlar i\u00e7in i\u015f beklentilerinde bir iyile\u015fme g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini s\u00f6yleyebilirsiniz. <\/span><\/p>\n

Tipik bir istatistiksel temsil, verilerin toplanmas\u0131n\u0131, kapsaml\u0131 analizi, organizasyonu ve sunumu i\u00e7erir. Matematiksel bir problem sunmak i\u00e7in istatistiksel verileri kullan\u0131rken, ek \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma i\u00e7in istatistiksel bir model veya pop\u00fclasyonla ba\u015flamak yayg\u0131nd\u0131r. Bu \u201cn\u00fcfus\u201d, belirli bir \u00fclkede ya\u015fayan toplam insan say\u0131s\u0131 veya belirli bir eyalette da\u011f\u0131t\u0131lan toplam devlet sedan\u0131 say\u0131s\u0131 gibi herhangi bir \u015fey olabilir. <\/p>\n

N\u00fcfus say\u0131m\u0131 verileri ayr\u0131ca istatistiksel bilgilerin sunulmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla da toplan\u0131r; Ancak bu m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, bir istatistik\u00e7i ayn\u0131 ama\u00e7 i\u00e7in anket \u00f6rneklerini veya deneysel tasar\u0131mlar\u0131 kullanabilir.<\/p>\n


\n<\/p>\n

Olas\u0131l\u0131k Nedir?<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n

Olas\u0131l\u0131k ise 0 (s\u0131f\u0131r) ile 1 (bir) aras\u0131nda farkl\u0131 bir say\u0131 olarak \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcl\u00fcr. Bu durumda, s\u0131f\u0131r, bir olay\u0131n toplam olas\u0131 olmay\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 temsil eder ve bir numara, bir olay\u0131n meydana gelece\u011fine dair kesinli\u011fi temsil eder. Genel olarak konu\u015fursak, herhangi bir olay\u0131n olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ne kadar y\u00fcksekse, ger\u00e7ekle\u015fme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 da o kadar y\u00fcksektir. <\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00d6rnek olarak:<\/strong><\/em> <\/span><\/p>\n

Basit bir yaz\u0131 tura atma durumunu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn:
\nMadeni para havadayken, sonucun yaz\u0131 veya tura olma \u015fans\u0131 e\u015fittir (\u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc madeni para tarafl\u0131 de\u011fildir); Ve bu durumda her iki sonu\u00e7 da e\u015fit derecede olas\u0131d\u0131r (yani, 0,5 veya %50 \u015fans).<\/span><\/p>\n

Yaz\u0131 tura atma gibi genel deneylerde olas\u0131l\u0131k kullan\u0131l\u0131rken, istenen sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 dahil ederek ve bu say\u0131y\u0131 olas\u0131 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n tam say\u0131s\u0131na b\u00f6lerek her olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 say\u0131sal olarak tan\u0131mlamak gelenekseldir.<\/p>\n


\n
\n<\/span><\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcn Olas\u0131l\u0131k<\/span><\/span><\/h2>\n

Modern olas\u0131l\u0131k \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 binlerce y\u0131l boyunca geli\u015fmi\u015ftir. Kumar, olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 etkileyen fakt\u00f6rleri \u00f6l\u00e7meye y\u00f6nelik merak ve ilgiyi art\u0131rmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olan eski bir uygulamad\u0131r \u2013 ancak ger\u00e7ek matematik son zamanlarda ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. <\/span><\/p>\n

Uzun bir s\u00fcre boyunca olas\u0131l\u0131k geli\u015fiminin durmas\u0131 sebepsiz de\u011fildir. \u015eans oyunlar\u0131n\u0131n te\u015fvik etti\u011fi ilgiye ra\u011fmen, \u015fans ve bat\u0131l inan\u00e7larla g\u00f6lgede kalan bir me\u015fguliyet hala vard\u0131; Ve bunlar ger\u00e7ek matemati\u011fin gizemini \u00e7\u00f6zmede rol oynad\u0131. <\/span><\/p>\n

\u0130statistik ve olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczdeki uygulamalar\u0131 fizik, modelleme ve risk de\u011ferlendirmesini i\u00e7erir. Sigorta ve ticaret piyasalar\u0131 da kendi teorilerini olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in istatistikleri kullan\u0131r. H\u00fck\u00fcmetler ve finans kurumlar\u0131 da \u00f6nemli hesaplamalar\u0131n temelini olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in olas\u0131l\u0131k ve istatistiklere g\u00fcvenirler. <\/p>\n

Olas\u0131l\u0131k ve istatistik pe\u015finde ko\u015fmakla ilgilenen \u00f6\u011frenciler i\u00e7in, temel kombinasyonlar, hipotez testi, do\u011frusal regresyon, Bayes \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131m\u0131 ve g\u00fcven aral\u0131klar\u0131 gibi belirli konulara daha yak\u0131ndan bakan \u00fcniversite d\u00fczeyinde kurslar vard\u0131r.<\/p>\n


\n\u0130statistik ve olas\u0131l\u0131k, hepsini burada listelemek i\u00e7in \u00e7ok fazla konuyu kapsar <\/span>. <\/span>T\u00fcm bu konular hakk\u0131nda size daha geni\u015f bir anlay\u0131\u015f kazand\u0131rmak i\u00e7in, finanstaki temel kurslar\u0131m\u0131zdan herhangi birinde \u00e7evrimi\u00e7i problem setleri, \u00f6\u011fretici videolar ve okuma sorular\u0131 dahil olmak \u00fczere bir\u00e7ok \u00f6\u011frenme ve de\u011ferlendirme arac\u0131 sa\u011flanacakt\u0131r.<\/span><\/p>\n

Finansal piyasalarda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmakla ilgileniyorsan\u0131z veya kendi portf\u00f6y\u00fcn\u00fcz\u00fc \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmaya ba\u015flamak istiyorsan\u0131z, bu site ba\u015flamak i\u00e7in en iyi yerdir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Buradan ba\u015flay\u0131n:<\/em><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

1. <\/span><\/span><\/b>Finans\u0131n Temelleri<\/a><\/span><\/b><\/p>\n

2. <\/span><\/span><\/b>Borsay\u0131 \u00d6\u011frenmek<\/span><\/b><\/a><\/p>\n

3. <\/span><\/span><\/b>K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck Yat\u0131r\u0131mlar<\/a><\/span><\/b><\/p>\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130statistik ve Olas\u0131l\u0131k \u2013 Genel Bir Giri\u015f \u0130statistik ve olas\u0131l\u0131k, veri toplama ve analizine odaklanan matemati\u011fin dallar\u0131d\u0131r. Olas\u0131l\u0131k, olas\u0131 olman\u0131n durumu veya niteli\u011fi olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131r; veya bir olay\u0131n meydana gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde oldu\u011fu. \u00d6rne\u011fin, y\u00fcksek kategorili bir kas\u0131rga anakaraya \u00e7arpt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda y\u0131k\u0131m ve can kayb\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek olas\u0131l\u0131klar oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyebilirsiniz. \u0130statistik Nedir? \u0130statistik, verilerin b\u00fcy\u00fck miktarlarda […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9274,"featured_media":128793,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11345],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-119754","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-isletme-ve-yonetim"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalfinanceschool.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119754","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalfinanceschool.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalfinanceschool.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalfinanceschool.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9274"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalfinanceschool.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119754"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/globalfinanceschool.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119754\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalfinanceschool.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/128793"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalfinanceschool.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119754"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalfinanceschool.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119754"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalfinanceschool.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119754"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}